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Mumbay attacks: some cuestions related with cooperation and nuclear proliferation

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The U.S. has promised India “very active” help to improve its counter-terrorism capabilities while asking Pakistan to act “urgently and transparently” to help catch the perpetrators of the Mumbai terror assaults and prevent future attacks.

The “terrible sophisticated” terror attack “raises questions about the importance of making certain that everything is done to bring the perpetrators to justice, but also to prevent follow-on attacks,” Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice said on Friday.

“And in that regard, Pakistan has a special responsibility to act,” she said in Copenhagen, after a meeting with Danish Prime Minister Anders Fogh Rasmussen, whom she briefed about her talks with Indian and Pakistani leaders

via The Hindu News Update Service.

Even if Indian state has done very little to stop the persecution against Christians which took place last summer, I really consider that it’s necessary they are helped in these matters. That’s why I just don’t understand why Pakistan has agreed with Afghanistan and Turkey to cooperate in anti-terrorist matters,while they are not doing the same with India (apart from the three countries being Islamic and India being a non-Islamic country).

Apart from that, there is the inherent perils of having both India and Pakistan nuclear arsenals:

The Mumbai terrorist attacks and their potential to re-poison the relationship between India and Pakistan suggests that we should not be too sanguine about the stability of nuclear deterrence in a proliferated world. Even if nuclear weapons tend to encourage mutually-deterring relationships between possessor states (an assumption that, while plausible, is no more than an extrapolation from a single U.S.-Soviet case study and a mere decade of sometimes tension-filled Indo-Pakistani nuclear confrontation), there is no guarantee that any actual possessors’ relationship will be stable.

This is true particularly where bitter regional rivalries are susceptible to inflammation from other factors (e.g., cross-border terrorism and/or squabbles over contested frontiers). One would have to have a great deal of faith indeed in the conflict-moderating impact of nuclear weapons in order to be comfortable that the net result will be more stable and less dangerous than before. It is certainly possible that in such contexts the introduction of nuclear weapons would not increase stability. It would merely worsen the potential downside risks if troubled relationships deteriorate.

Written by Claudia

December 6, 2008 at 8:18 pm

Istanbul’s terrorist attacks: an analysis

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(…) The Constitutional Tribunal must deliberate about the legitimacy of another party, the pro-Kurd DTP, which means that the Turkish political life is the hands of the Judicial power. The situation is similar to the one lived by Algeria when the Islamic Front was eliminated.

According to other analists the ban on both parties (the other is AKP, scroll down for updates) would take Turkey away from Europe.

Terrorism will be the legacy of the fight between Islamists and the far-right. It is not the first time that Erdogan has made a statement for the country’s unity. The “deep State”, linked to the military groups and the myth of Ataturk, has been decimated by the Islamic government. The greatest blow on secularism has been the arrest of the “Ergenekon”. Some days before the July 9th terrorist attacks, two ex-generals were arrested, accused of being leaders of a group labeled as terrorist and who inspired several political murders in last twenty years.

(…) But there is another link, geopolitical this time, of Erdogan’s strategy. On the one hand, he is the mediator between Israel and Syria. On the other hand, regarding energy, he has pointed to Turkey.

In Ceyhan, a Mediaterranean port which could be greater than Rotterdam, the Turkish government has made an economic revolution. Both pipelines from Baku and Tiblisi join there with the pipeline from Kirkuk, Iraqi city famous because of its richesses on oil. The third pipeline will be built by ENI, the Turkish Calik Group and Indian oil company.

In Ceyhan several facilities’ construction is planned for next years with a total value of 5 billion dollards: a refinery, Eolian towers and places of storage. Turkey wants to be the main energetic node for all Europe, but for that they are in agreements with Teheran, considered as a privilleged partner for the Kurdish revolt.

Attentato a Istanbul: analisi | LE GUERRE CIVILI.

By the way, the AKP has escaped the constitutional ban but the Tribunal has imposed financial sanctions on it. So one of two things that was “taking Turkey away from Europe” is eliminated. A very interesting thing considered the energetical role Turkey is going to play for Europe.

The MSM have treated this in a different way but signs of relief are somewhat generalised:

  1. The Times: The AKP’s ruling is “a notable victory for a popular and capable government, an important judgment on the role of Islam in a modern, secular state and a triumph for Turkish democracy“. Yeah, what accuracy…
  2. Die Presse (Austria): It was a close decision, but also the right one. Following the ruling, Turkey’s ruling party the AKP is now free to continue its balancing act between Islam and Western reform. The judges have not blocked the loophole for the emergence of a modern Turkey. … It is to be hoped that in the future Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdoğan … will desist from any attempt to strengthen religion. Yeah, of course, if his party wasn’t banned (and he himself was allowed to run for office when he had been banned because of his conviction on “religious hate” charges), he is going to stop his plans.
  3. Frankfurter Rundschau (Germany): Erdoğan never took seriously the fears of many Western-oriented Turks of a growing Islamicisation of the country, despite all his assertions that he wanted to be the ‘prime minister of all Turks’. He still does not know how to listen to his critics or include them in his plans. The Turkish prime minister should get back to reversing the considerable democratic deficit in his country instead of acting solely in the interests of devout Muslims. Religious freedoms and civil rights must be guaranteed for all Turks, including Christians and Kurds. Otherwise the country’s European prospects will come to nothing. Much more realistic as you see.
  4. La Reppublica (Italy): Despite the positive side of the judgement, “which dispels the climate of uncertainty, Erdoğan is clear that Turkey has lost precious time, above all concerning the attempt to enter the EU which it started in 2005.

Also read Turkey’s Constitutional Crisis Highlights Army Role on Poligazette.

Related:

  1. A plot against the Government and the process against the AKP continues.
  2. the procedure against the alleged pro-Kemalist coup proceeds in Turkey.
  3. the Islamist branch of the Ergenekon?

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Written by Claudia

July 31, 2008 at 10:17 pm

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